Berries volume is down vs last year, but we are seeing inflation in the category.

What is most interesting is that in the last 4 weeks, all Total berries have been down -15% in
overall volume, but the category is up by 10.2%. Only Strawberries and Blackberries had more
volume than last year, with Blueberries down -23% and Raspberries -15% down. Historically,
from a consumption perspective, we start to see a lull come in for the next 2-3 weeks prior to the
ramp up into Xmas, which in the last 3 years has been occurring later. This is across all
categories and is not only affecting Berries and correlates with the rise of Black Friday (BF) and
Christmas shopping. You will note that sales for BF are coming earlier, and this could start to
prolong the lull in discretionary spend in categories such as fruit and, more specifically, berries,
highlighting the focus on quality and that shoppers are watching and will continue to watch every
dollar they spend.


Blueberries: In Northern NSW, there are still a few weeks to go on the late Southern Highbush,
but it is falling away quickly over the next 2-3 weeks. The weather for Northern NSW is expected
to be relatively good for the next week, with lows between 12 and 18 and highs on most days
between 30 and 32, with the exception being today, with a high of 34. Next week poses a
challenge, with some consistent rain forecast across the week; 4 out of 7 days are currently
forecast to have rain. However, given that it is a week away, this could change.


Coffs Coast: Arana continues to peak in the Coffs Coast with a lot of volume around vs 3-4
weeks ago. This is expected to continue for the next 10-14 days and then start to come back
when rabbiteye begins to pick up. For the TBC, we are expecting an increase in rabbiteye
volume, but the main season is still a few weeks off; however, we expect the ramp-up to be fast.
Renmark: This growing region has favourable weather for berry growing and harvesting over the
next 2 weeks, with the season continuing at larger volumes. This should continue for the short
term, leading into December.


South West WA: We will see some great berry-growing and harvesting weather this week. Fruit
from this region is looking really good, and we expect volumes to ramp up again this week with a
lot coming East. This week we continue to see mild nights, between 13-15 degrees and
maximums of 24-28 degrees. At this stage, we expect a little cool snap to come through with
cooler night and day temps expected next week. In Pemberton, most minimum temperatures will
be back under 10 degrees, which is 3-4 degrees below historical averages.
Raspberries: Despite lower volumes than last year, we are seeing good demand across the East
Coast, and we expect this to continue for the next 2 weeks.
Coffs Coast: Weather over the next week should continue to support good-quality fruit. With
volumes expected to hit peak in the next 1-2 weeks before coming back just before Xmas.


Tasmanian Raspberries are being pushed back by cooler, rainy conditions. Looking at last week,
all minimum temperatures ranged from 0 to 5 degrees. This is approximately 7 degrees lower
than the historical average. What stands out is that there were two nights of 0 degrees. There is
a bit of a reprieve with some sun at the back end of this week, but next week, overcast and rainy
conditions are currently forecast for 5 days.Below is the Launceston Weather for November 2025 and the forecast for the rest of the month.
(Source Accuweather.com)


Strawberries: East Coast – Whilst there is additional production at the moment vs last year
(+4.2%), we are still a few weeks away from significant volume. The forecast for the Victorian
producing regions suggests cooler maximum temperatures than the historical average, but
nighttime temperatures have been mostly aligned with what is expected for this time of year. The
back end of the month will see different challenges, as most of the production in Victoria is
inground and outside, and we expect maximum temperatures at this time next week to be above
30, with minimum temps pushing up to 17-20 degrees. This will likely impact quality. We will
continue to monitor this in the coming weeks.


South West WA: Quality across the board is good, with size starting to come back in the coming
weeks as we expect it to heat up. The following 4 days will be the hottest of the month (so far),
then it will settle back down to cooler temps. Next week is what you would call perfect harvest
conditions with minimum temperatures of 8-11 degrees and maximums of 20-24 degrees and
sunny days forecasted for most days. Retailers on the East Coast have been asking for more
production to be sent across, given the quality of fruit produced in the region.
Blackberries: We are seeing volumes drop after a peak mid-last month. We expect this to move
sideways as Tasmania picks up in the coming weeks. Night temps for Coffs are warmer than the
historical average, but the good news is that we are not seeing temperatures go above the
historical maximums, which should mean we continue to see some good fruit coming from the
region.

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